Stocks for the Rest of Us
Personal Finance
Why This Whole Game Is Ridiculous
Jul 21st
Two tickers sum it up, DMM and UMM. These wonderful new funds from Macroshares allow you to bet on the direction of the housing market. I honestly have no idea how these even work but just the idea of betting on the housing market as if you were at a casino seems ridiculous to me. I suppose the pundits will say that it allows you to protect yourself from a housing decline by hedging your house. Maybe you can buy options on these bad boys and lever up. Yeah, there we go, that’s a good idea.
Thank Me? Thank Hank Paulson. I Didn’t Want To Give You Any Money In The First Place
Dec 24th

You have to love Chrysler. I get what they were trying to do but this is just ridiculous. Note to Mr Nardelli, we didn’t invest in Chrysler; we gave you a loan which we expect to be repaid. Not only that but we didn’t want to give you the loan. The money was basically stolen from us without our consent. I wonder how much it cost you to run these full page color ads in all the major newspapers? I wonder how many more cars you will sell because of these ads? I wonder how this will help Chrysler make better cars?
A Note To CNBC: Please Stop With The Underperforming Fund Managers
Dec 3rd
Why would anyone want to listen to an underperforming fund manager? It really bothers that these guys can come on TV and give there “expert” opinions about how the market is bottoming. Just now, CNBC had a fund manager on TV talking about his wonderful stock picks. It’s too bad his fund is down 46% YTD (only slightly worse then the S&P 500). I’d rather just own the SPY and not have to the pay management fees.
Thoughts On The Auto Industry Bailout And Why I’m Against It
Nov 18th
It’s sad that the pinnacle of American manufacturing has come to this point. Rick Wagoner and the rest of the Big 3 CEOs are in Washington begging lobbying for taxpayer money to keep their businesses afloat. Now I realize the importance of an auto industry here in America but at what cost. In my opinion the ailing economy is not what has brought General Motors to its knees. Let’s not forget, GM has been losing money since 2005 when the economy was moving along at a respectable pace. So who’s to say that sales will pick up when the economy turns around. The fact of the matter is that GM has simply lost market share to other manufacturers and is too big and bloated to continue operating in it’s current form. There just isn’t enough demand to warrant their current capacity.
So how do we solve this problem? Well, here’s an idea…BUILD BETTER CARS!!! You can’t turn out junk for 40 years and expect people to continue buying your junk. I don’t understand why we can’t build better cars. Some people blame it on the American workers but Honda and Toyota both build cars right here in America with American workers and their cars are of much better quality. Why can’t these guys learn from the Japanese how to build a better car?
Unfortunately, it appears as though time has run out for these guys. My problem with bailing them out is that I don’t see any real plans going forward to reverse the downward death spiral that is General Motors’ business plan. Who’s to say they simply won’t burn through the 25 billion in 6 months and require more capital (think AIG). I think the best option, while risky, may be to put the automaker into chapter 11 bankrupty with the federal government as the DIP financier backing the warranties and suppliers. This would allow GM to get out of crippling labor contracts and re-organize (downsize considerably) under the protection of bankruptcy while giving some sense of confidence to the consumer and the parts suppliers.
I understand the arguement against bankruptcy and the rippling effect that it could have on the rest of the economy as a whole but unfortunately it looks as though no matter which path we choose the American auto industry is going to be downsized and tens of thousands of jobs will be lost. It’s just matter of whether it’s now or later.
Washington Mutual Could Fail
Sep 11th
Washington Mutual, ticker symbol WM, appears to be the next big failure. The stock is getting hammered and their ability to raise capital is diminishing. If you’ve got any accounts there over $100k now is the time to get that out. Luckily, if you’re poor like me and you don’t have 100k in liquid cash it’s not a concern. I’m still thinking about locking some money up in that 1 year 5% APY CD that they’re offering. As long as it’s FDIC insured you should be good to go.
UPDATE: I wouldn’t be surprised if it’s Jamie Dimon to the rescue. I’d actually be kind of glad. I like JPMorgan. I’ll bet the WM board members are wishing they took that $8/share offer Dimon made several months ago.
How To Raise Your Credit Score
Sep 10th
As I watch a barrage of personal finance shows on television everyday it appears that the number one thing people ask is how to raise their credit scores. It’s actually pretty simple. You need to eliminate debt and keep your credit utilization ratio low. The first thing you need to do is go to annualcreditreport.com and pull your credit report from all three bureaus. It’s free to do on a yearly basis. Here’s a breakdown of how your FICO score is computed.

Fico Score Breakdown
The main thing is of course your payment history. Unfortunately, if you have some delinquent payments those records stay with you but paying them off will obviously help. There’s nothing more you can do about that.
Next we have amount owed. When you apply for a loan the potential creditor takes a snapshot of all your accounts and looks at how much debt you have as a percentage of your credit limits. Ideally you want this to be under 30%. So if all of your credit card limits add up to $10,000 you want to have no more then $3000 as a total balance due on all cards. If you’re like me and you charge just about everything to get airline miles and pay your balance off at the end of the month then you might want to consider calling your credit card companies and asking them to bump up your limits. You’re not actually going to use the additional credit but it will decrease your credit utilization ratio effectively raising your FICO score. This is why it’s important to NEVER CLOSE AN OPEN CREDIT ACCOUNT. Closing available credit will increase your utilization ratio and decrease your credit score.
The last major portion of your credit score is your credit history. This is simply how long you’ve had your credit lines open. Unfortunately Fair Isaac corporation has done away with being able to inherit credit history from other accounts to which your name is added so time is the only thing that can help here. However, getting your name added to an account with a large credit limit appears to still help as it will raise your utilization ratio. Hope that helps.
Thoughts On Fannie Mae Freddie Mac Takeover
Sep 7th
While I’m normally more of a free marketeer I have to say that I’m glad the government has decided to takeover Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae. Yes, I understand they will be using taxpayer money to do so (most likely in the form of preferred stock) but I think it will be worth it. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are vital to our housing market. Because of there implicit backing by good ole’ Uncle Sam they have the ability to borrow money at an extremely low rate. This in turn, allows them to buy mortgages from banks and brokers who can then pass on the savings to home buyers. This liquidity in our mortgage market keeps the cost of borrowing money lower then it would otherwise be.
I think Hank Paulson may be executing the greatest trade in modern history. According to this CNN article, Pimco’s Bill Gross believes that as taxpayers we might even be able to make money on this whole deal. The Treasury will effectively be buying low and hopefully selling high once the housing market finally recovers (which it eventually will). As long as Uncle Sam has the money to backstop the two institutions for several years while the business (and stock price) recovers, he’ll be able to sell that preferred stock at a huge gain. Don’t forget, in a normal market, the business of packaging and selling mortgages is quite profitable. However, at the moment they simply lack the capital to continue operating through the housing depression. When you think about it, It’s really no different then a huge private equity firm coming in, taking out management, fixing up the business and selling it for a profit once it’s all done.
Washington Mutual Offering High Yield Online CD: 5% APY
Sep 6th
In an attempt to shore up their own balance sheets Washington Mutual is offering a 5% APY 12 month CD. I would consider locking up a portion of your savings in one of these CDs even if you’ve already got a high-yield savings account. Currently, my online savings account gets me 3.75% APY. This isn’t bad but 5% is obviously better. “But Suze Orman told me not to lock any money into a CD right now, what do you say about that?”. Well, in my opinion with the increasing rate of foreclosure and the still declining housing market, the economy most likely will not make a huge recovery anytime within the next 12 months. Without a recovery on the horizon I don’t think we’ll see an increase in the fed funds rate which can be closely correlated to savings rates. Remember, when the fed funds rate was at 5.25% most online savings accounts were getting just over 5% as well. Mr Bernanke has a waaaaaaaaaaaays to go before he gets the fed funds rate back up to the 5% area. So I say go ahead and lock in some money at 5% for a year. When the year is up, re-evaluate the situation based on high-interest savings account rates at the time. My guess is that 12 months from now we’ll be seeing savings rates start to creep up again.
Acorn Program Provides Low Mortgage Rates For Us Poor People
Aug 29th
I encourage anyone shopping for a house right now to check out Acorn Housing and see if there’s an office in your area. Depending on your income and your area you may qualify for the program which can get you rates otherwise unattainable even with perfect credit. Here in San Diego the program guidelines are as follows.
- 8% down payment minimum required……
- No Private Mortgage Insurance
- ½ point off on a 30 year FRM (this is half a point off the prime rate)
- Income Limit is now $ 90125.00
- Area Median Income now $72100.00
- 80% $57680.00
- 50% $36050.00
- Income = 0 – $36050.00 – 1 point off and $3000 dollars towards closing costs
- Income = $36051 to $57680 – ½ point off and $3000 dollars towards closing costs
- Income = $57680 to $90125.00 – ½ point off
You go through a one on one budget session with an Acorn counselor and once you’ve got the required down payment you can speak to a loan officer from the affiliate bank. The great thing about this program is that it will give you access to interest rates well below market even without a perfect credit score. So if you make less then 90k in San Diego then you’re eligible for at least a half point reduction on your interest rate. Free Money!!
Personal Finance Content Coming Soon
Aug 27th
I’ll be adding a personal finance category to my blog as I often come across articles and stories related to this subject that I find quite interesting. It will include just about anything related to finance from housing to savings accounts. Leave me a comment if you have any suggestions.